Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Wrexham faced Middlesbrough in Championship on 4 November 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with Wrexham taking the victory over Middlesbrough. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **4 lost** (43% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.22 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.55 (confidence: 52%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 77%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 1 card — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 12.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 5 corners — clear of the 12.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.83 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-3** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.22 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.55 | 52% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.35 | 77% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.36 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Under 12.5 Corners | 1.32 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.83 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-3 | 11.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 7 tips won** (43% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.77 | 2 | | Corners | 10.3 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 07.08.26 Middlesbrough 1-0 Wrexham | 02.05.26 Wrexham 2-2 Middlesbrough | 25.10.25 Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham | 11.12.99 Wrexham 2-1 Middlesbrough ## Pre-Match Odds | Wrexham Win | Draw | Middlesbrough Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.71 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.60. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*