Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Willem II faced Heerenveen in Eredivisie on 30 August 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **4 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **2 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.28 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 4 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip More second-half goals than our model predicted. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.28 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.45 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 71% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 4 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.46 | 4 | | Corners | 10.5 | 16 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 04.04.25 Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II | 08.12.24 Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen | 05.03.22 Willem II 0-0 Heerenveen | 21.11.21 Heerenveen 2-1 Willem II | 13.03.21 Willem II 3-1 Heerenveen ## Pre-Match Odds | Willem II Win | Draw | Heerenveen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.90 | 4.25 | 1.80 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*