Willem II 0–3 Excelsior — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Willem II faced Excelsior in Eredivisie on 5 September 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with Excelsior taking the victory over Willem II. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** The 0–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.67 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.55 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 0.5 goals as predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 9.50 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.44 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.67 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.55 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.36 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 9.50 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.37 | 3 | | Corners | 9.8 | — | | Yellow Cards | 2.9 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 10.10.24 Excelsior 1-6 Willem II | 30.12.22 Willem II 3-1 Excelsior | 17.07.21 Willem II 2-0 Excelsior | 21.04.19 Excelsior 1-1 Willem II | 15.09.18 Willem II 2-2 Excelsior ## Pre-Match Odds | Willem II Win | Draw | Excelsior Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.87 | 3.60 | 2.35 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*