Vitoria Guimaraes 1–1 Moreirense — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Vitoria Guimaraes faced Moreirense in Primeira Liga on 20 September 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Vitoria Guimaraes to Win** @ 1.47 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.37 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** 0 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.64 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 3 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** 2 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 6.20 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Vitoria Guimaraes to Win | 1.47 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.37 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.34 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.64 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.75 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 6.20 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.54 | 2 | | Corners | 8.9 | 3 | | Yellow Cards | 5.3 | 0 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 30.01.26 Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense | 23.08.25 Moreirense 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes | 30.03.25 Moreirense 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes | 03.11.24 Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense | 30.03.24 Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense ## Pre-Match Odds | Vitoria Guimaraes Win | Draw | Moreirense Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.47 | 4.45 | 7.20 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*