Vitoria Guimaraes 5–0 Maritimo — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Vitoria Guimaraes faced Maritimo in Primeira Liga on 23 October 2026. The match ended **5–0**, with Vitoria Guimaraes taking the victory over Maritimo. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Vitoria Guimaraes to Win** @ 1.57 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.38 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 7 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 8.5 Corners** @ 1.85 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 11 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.46 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.30 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Vitoria Guimaraes to Win | 1.57 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.38 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.50 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.39 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 8.5 Corners | 1.85 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.46 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.30 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.54 | 5 | | Corners | 8.4 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 5.4 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | Yes (1) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 29.04.23 Maritimo 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes | 13.11.22 Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Maritimo | 13.03.22 Maritimo 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes | 22.10.21 Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Maritimo | 16.05.21 Maritimo 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes ## Pre-Match Odds | Vitoria Guimaraes Win | Draw | Maritimo Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.57 | 75.00 | 150.00 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*