Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Venezia faced Fiorentina in Serie A on 11 September 2026. The match ended **2–4**, with Fiorentina taking the victory over Venezia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** The 2–4 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.75 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 6 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.30 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 0.5 goals as predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 10.00 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.45 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.75 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.52 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.30 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.39 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 10.00 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.39 | 6 | | Corners | 8.5 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 12.05.25 Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina | 25.08.24 Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia | 16.04.22 Fiorentina 1-0 Venezia ## Pre-Match Odds | Venezia Win | Draw | Fiorentina Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.87 | 3.35 | 2.55 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*