Valencia 1–2 Villarreal — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Valencia faced Villarreal in LaLiga on 24 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Villarreal taking the victory over Valencia. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.75 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.41 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.75 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 10 cards — the 5.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.61 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 15 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 8.50 (confidence: 9%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.34 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.41 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.75 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.61 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.39 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 8.50 | 9% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.08 | 3 | | Corners | 9.9 | 15 | | Yellow Cards | 4.7 | 10 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 22.02.26 Villarreal 2-1 Valencia | 25.10.25 Valencia 0-2 Villarreal | 15.02.25 Villarreal 1-1 Valencia | 31.08.24 Valencia 1-1 Villarreal | 17.03.24 Villarreal 1-0 Valencia ## Pre-Match Odds | Valencia Win | Draw | Villarreal Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.18 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*