Utrecht 3–1 Willem II — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Utrecht faced Willem II in Eredivisie on 11 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Utrecht taking the victory over Willem II. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Utrecht to Win** @ 1.51 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.15 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.56 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 2 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.44 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 10.00 (confidence: 7%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Utrecht to Win | 1.51 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 2.15 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.56 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.44 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 10.00 | 7% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.94 | 4 | | Corners | 10.3 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.2 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 09.03.25 Willem II 2-3 Utrecht | 21.09.24 Utrecht 3-2 Willem II | 15.05.22 Willem II 3-0 Utrecht | 31.10.21 Utrecht 5-1 Willem II | 01.05.21 Utrecht 3-2 Willem II ## Pre-Match Odds | Utrecht Win | Draw | Willem II Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.51 | 4.70 | 5.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*