Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ukraine faced Northern Ireland in Nations League on 2 October 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with Northern Ireland taking the victory over Ukraine. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.25 (confidence: 80%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 4 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.58 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 8 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 1 second-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 6.30 (confidence: 30%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.25 | 80% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.47 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.30 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.58 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 6.30 | 30% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 1.76 | 3 | | Corners | 8.7 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 54% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 03.06.21 Ukraine 1-0 Northern Ireland | 16.06.16 Ukraine 0-2 Northern Ireland | 06.09.03 Ukraine 0-0 Northern Ireland | 16.10.02 Northern Ireland 0-0 Ukraine | 02.04.97 Ukraine 2-1 Northern Ireland ## Pre-Match Odds | Ukraine Win | Draw | Northern Ireland Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.02 | 3.15 | 4.20 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.20. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*