Troyes 0–2 Marseille — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Troyes faced Marseille in Ligue 1 on 11 October 2026. The match ended **0–2**, with Marseille taking the victory over Troyes. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Marseille to Win** @ 2.10 (confidence: 47%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.57 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.46 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.46 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.10 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Marseille to Win | 2.10 | 47% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.57 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.46 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.46 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.33 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.10 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.10 | 2 | | Corners | 9.0 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | No | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 16.04.23 Marseille 3-1 Troyes | 11.01.23 Troyes 0-2 Marseille | 27.02.22 Troyes 1-1 Marseille | 28.11.21 Marseille 1-0 Troyes | 15.04.18 Troyes 2-3 Marseille ## Pre-Match Odds | Troyes Win | Draw | Marseille Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.45 | 3.70 | 2.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*