Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Toronto FC faced Nashville SC in MLS on 10 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Toronto FC taking the victory over Nashville SC. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **1 lost** (80% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 1 card — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 51%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.40 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.50 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.33 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 51% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.35 | 74% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 4 of 5 tips won** (80% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.97 | 3 | | Corners | 9.9 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 20.07.25 Nashville SC 1-0 Toronto FC | 25.05.25 Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC | 20.06.24 Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC | 16.05.24 Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC | 02.02.24 Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC ## Pre-Match Odds | Toronto FC Win | Draw | Nashville SC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.25 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.05. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*