Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Switzerland faced Slovenia in Nations League on 3 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Switzerland taking the victory over Slovenia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Switzerland to Win** @ 1.31 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❓ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 56%) — **PENDING** More second-half goals than our model predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 5.75 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Switzerland to Win | 1.31 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.36 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.75 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.75 | 56% | ❓ PENDING | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 5.75 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.61 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 13.10.25 Slovenia 0-0 Switzerland | 08.09.25 Switzerland 3-0 Slovenia | 05.09.15 Switzerland 3-2 Slovenia | 09.10.14 Slovenia 1-0 Switzerland | 15.10.13 Switzerland 1-0 Slovenia ## Pre-Match Odds | Switzerland Win | Draw | Slovenia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.31 | 5.35 | 10.75 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.31. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*