Swansea 2–0 Watford — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Swansea faced Watford in Championship on 1 September 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with Swansea taking the victory over Watford. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Swansea to Win** @ 1.88 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** With 2 total goals, the match stayed under the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.67 (confidence: 56%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip The first half saw more than 1.5 goals, going against our under prediction. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 6.90 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Swansea to Win | 1.88 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.35 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.38 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.67 | 56% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.42 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 6.90 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.53 | 2 | | Corners | 10.3 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 31.01.26 Watford 0-2 Swansea | 23.08.25 Swansea 1-1 Watford | 12.03.25 Watford 1-0 Swansea | 05.11.24 Swansea 1-0 Watford | 06.03.24 Watford 1-1 Swansea ## Pre-Match Odds | Swansea Win | Draw | Watford Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.88 | 3.60 | 4.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*