Sturm Graz 3–4 Salzburg — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sturm Graz faced Salzburg in Austrian Bundesliga on 8 November 2026. The match ended **3–4**, with Salzburg taking the victory over Sturm Graz. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** The 3–4 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.22 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.92 (confidence: 53%) — **WON** 3 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 8.40 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.47 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.42 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.22 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.30 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.92 | 53% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.44 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 8.40 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.59 | 7 | | Corners | 9.5 | 3 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 20.09.26 Salzburg 3-0 Sturm Graz | 03.05.26 Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz | 20.03.26 Sturm Graz 1-1 Salzburg | 09.11.25 Sturm Graz 1-1 Salzburg | 20.09.25 Salzburg 0-2 Sturm Graz ## Pre-Match Odds | Sturm Graz Win | Draw | Salzburg Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*