Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Stoke faced Middlesbrough in Championship on 13 October 2026. The match ended **2–3**, with Middlesbrough taking the victory over Stoke. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The 2–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.73 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 53%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 11.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.39 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.87 | 53% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 11.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.15 | 5 | | Corners | 10.5 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | No | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 21.01.26 Stoke 1-2 Middlesbrough | 30.09.25 Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke | 25.02.25 Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough | 28.09.24 Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke | 27.08.24 Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke ## Pre-Match Odds | Stoke Win | Draw | Middlesbrough Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.60 | 3.75 | 2.07 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*