Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sporting Kansas City faced Portland Timbers in MLS on 11 October 2026. The match ended **3–3** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.55 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** The 3–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.93 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** 6 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 card — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.46 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 2.05 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** 3 first-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.90 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.55 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.93 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.34 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.46 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 2.05 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.90 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.05 | 6 | | Corners | 10.3 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 83% | Yes (3) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 10.05.26 Portland Timbers 6-0 Sporting Kansas City | 11.05.25 Portland Timbers 1-0 Sporting Kansas City | 13.04.25 Sporting Kansas City 2-4 Portland Timbers | 26.05.24 Portland Timbers 2-1 Sporting Kansas City | 07.04.24 Sporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland Timbers ## Pre-Match Odds | Sporting Kansas City Win | Draw | Portland Timbers Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.55 | 4.00 | 2.67 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*