Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin FC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sporting Kansas City faced Austin FC in MLS on 25 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Austin FC taking the victory over Sporting Kansas City. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Sporting Kansas City to Win** @ 2.25 (confidence: 45%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.27 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.31 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 7 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.70 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 3 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.50 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Sporting Kansas City to Win | 2.25 | 45% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.27 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.31 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.70 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.50 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.64 | 3 | | Corners | 10.2 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 17.05.26 Austin FC 1-2 Sporting Kansas City | 14.02.26 Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Austin FC | 08.09.25 Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Austin FC | 23.02.25 Austin FC 1-0 Sporting Kansas City | 30.06.24 Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Austin FC ## Pre-Match Odds | Sporting Kansas City Win | Draw | Austin FC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.90 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*