Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam faced Willem II in Eredivisie on 17 October 2026. The match ended **3–2**, with Sparta Rotterdam taking the victory over Willem II. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.20 (confidence: 81%) — **WON** The 3–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.20 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.29 (confidence: 89%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** 8 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 10.00 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.20 | 81% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.20 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.29 | 89% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.44 | 70% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.32 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 10.00 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.86 | 5 | | Corners | 11.3 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 2.8 | 8 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 18.12.25 Willem II 1-5 Sparta Rotterdam | 26.07.25 Willem II 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Willem II | 31.08.24 Willem II 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | 27.07.24 Willem II 2-4 Sparta Rotterdam ## Pre-Match Odds | Sparta Rotterdam Win | Draw | Willem II Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.65 | 4.45 | 5.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*