Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam faced Heerenveen in Eredivisie on 19 September 2026. The match ended **0–4**, with Heerenveen taking the victory over Sparta Rotterdam. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.40 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 10.5 Corners** @ 1.71 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 9 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.80 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.50 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.40 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Over 10.5 Corners | 1.71 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.80 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.46 | 4 | | Corners | 11.6 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 28.02.26 Heerenveen 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 14.12.25 Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Heerenveen | 12.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 Heerenveen | 26.10.24 Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | 19.05.24 Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heerenveen ## Pre-Match Odds | Sparta Rotterdam Win | Draw | Heerenveen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.42 | 3.80 | 2.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*