Southampton 3–1 Swansea — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Southampton faced Swansea in Championship on 8 September 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Southampton taking the victory over Swansea. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.27 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** The 3–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.44 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 52%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.87 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** More second-half goals than our model predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 12.00 (confidence: 21%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.27 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.44 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.34 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 52% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.87 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 12.00 | 21% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.47 | 4 | | Corners | 9.6 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 66% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 18.04.26 Swansea 1-2 Southampton | 18.10.25 Southampton 0-0 Swansea | 12.01.25 Southampton 3-0 Swansea | 20.01.24 Swansea 1-3 Southampton | 26.12.23 Southampton 5-0 Swansea ## Pre-Match Odds | Southampton Win | Draw | Swansea Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.88 | 3.70 | 4.05 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*