Southampton 4–1 Bristol City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Southampton faced Bristol City in Championship on 12 September 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Southampton taking the victory over Bristol City. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Southampton to Win** @ 1.67 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.50 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.37 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 7.80 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Southampton to Win | 1.67 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.62 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.50 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.37 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.33 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 7.80 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.35 | 5 | | Corners | 10.8 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | Yes (1) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 21.04.26 Southampton 2-2 Bristol City | 21.10.25 Bristol City 3-1 Southampton | 13.02.24 Bristol City 3-1 Southampton ## Pre-Match Odds | Southampton Win | Draw | Bristol City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.80 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*