Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk faced AEK Athens in Champions League on 14 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Shakhtar Donetsk taking the victory over AEK Athens. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.35 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.70 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 2 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 11.00 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.52 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.39 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.35 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.70 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.75 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 11.00 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.40 | 4 | | Corners | 8.9 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 65% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 13.07.23 AEK Athens 5-0 Shakhtar Donetsk ## Pre-Match Odds | Shakhtar Donetsk Win | Draw | AEK Athens Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.72 | 3.45 | 2.65 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*