Sevilla 1–3 Atl. Madrid — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sevilla faced Atl. Madrid in LaLiga on 29 August 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with Atl. Madrid taking the victory over Sevilla. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** The 1–3 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** The match produced 4 goals, exceeding the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 4.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 51%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip The first half saw more than 1.5 goals, going against our under prediction. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.32 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.35 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Over 4.5 Cards | 1.45 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 51% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.42 | 70% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.65 | 4 | | Corners | 9.6 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 5.8 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 69% | Yes (3) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 11.04.26 Sevilla 2-1 Atl. Madrid | 01.11.25 Atl. Madrid 3-0 Sevilla | 06.04.25 Sevilla 1-2 Atl. Madrid | 08.12.24 Atl. Madrid 4-3 Sevilla | 11.02.24 Sevilla 1-0 Atl. Madrid ## Pre-Match Odds | Sevilla Win | Draw | Atl. Madrid Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.60 | 3.35 | 2.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*