Scotland 1–2 Slovenia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Scotland faced Slovenia in Nations League on 6 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Slovenia taking the victory over Scotland. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.98 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.57 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.48 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 6 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.68 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 2 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 5.40 (confidence: 14%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.98 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.57 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.48 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.68 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.52 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 5.40 | 14% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.18 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 62% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 26.09.26 Slovenia 0-0 Scotland | 08.10.17 Slovenia 2-2 Scotland | 26.03.17 Scotland 1-0 Slovenia | 29.02.12 Slovenia 1-1 Scotland | 12.10.05 Slovenia 0-3 Scotland ## Pre-Match Odds | Scotland Win | Draw | Slovenia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.70 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.70. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*