San Marino 0–7 Finland — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

San Marino faced Finland in Nations League on 26 September 2026. The match ended **0–7**, with Finland taking the victory over San Marino. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.46 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.39 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 4 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 14.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.46 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.39 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.75 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 14.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.45 | 7 | | Corners | 9.6 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 20.11.23 San Marino 1-2 Finland | 19.06.23 Finland 6-0 San Marino | 03.06.11 San Marino 0-1 Finland | 17.11.10 Finland 8-0 San Marino | 29.03.95 San Marino 0-2 Finland ## Pre-Match Odds | San Marino Win | Draw | Finland Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 30.00 | 11.00 | 1.10 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.10. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*