San Marino 0–3 Albania — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

San Marino faced Albania in Nations League on 29 September 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with Albania taking the victory over San Marino. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.83 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 2 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.39 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 1 second-half goal — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 8.30 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.83 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.36 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.39 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 8.30 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.91 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 08.09.21 Albania 5-0 San Marino | 31.03.21 San Marino 0-2 Albania | 08.06.14 San Marino 0-3 Albania | 16.08.06 San Marino 0-3 Albania ## Pre-Match Odds | San Marino Win | Draw | Albania Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 33.00 | 15.00 | 1.07 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.07. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*