San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland Timbers — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes faced Portland Timbers in MLS on 27 September 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with San Jose Earthquakes taking the victory over Portland Timbers. We placed **3 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **2 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.77 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 8.60 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.77 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.42 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 8.60 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 3 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.71 | 4 | | Corners | 9.8 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 24.05.26 Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes | 12.02.26 San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Portland Timbers | 14.06.25 Portland Timbers 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes | 21.05.25AET San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Portland Timbers | 04.05.25 San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 Portland Timbers ## Pre-Match Odds | San Jose Earthquakes Win | Draw | Portland Timbers Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.00 | 4.05 | 3.20 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*