San Diego FC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

San Diego FC faced San Jose Earthquakes in MLS on 10 September 2026. The match ended **2–3**, with San Jose Earthquakes taking the victory over San Diego FC. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.26 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.41 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 12 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.30 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** 4 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 1 second-half goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.26 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.41 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.44 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.30 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.45 | 70% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.57 | 5 | | Corners | 9.9 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 4.7 | 12 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 05.04.26 San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 San Diego FC | 24.01.26 San Diego FC 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes | 28.09.25 San Diego FC 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes | 18.08.25 San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 San Diego FC ## Pre-Match Odds | San Diego FC Win | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.82 | 4.15 | 4.10 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.10. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*