Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Salzburg faced Sturm Graz in Austrian Bundesliga on 20 September 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with Salzburg taking the victory over Sturm Graz. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.21 (confidence: 84%) — **WON** The 3–0 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.82 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 12.5 Corners** @ 1.62 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 12.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 11.00 (confidence: 20%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.21 | 84% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.82 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.30 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Under 12.5 Corners | 1.62 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 11.00 | 20% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.08 | 3 | | Corners | 11.8 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 03.05.26 Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz | 20.03.26 Sturm Graz 1-1 Salzburg | 09.11.25 Sturm Graz 1-1 Salzburg | 20.09.25 Salzburg 0-2 Sturm Graz | 09.05.25 Sturm Graz 4-2 Salzburg ## Pre-Match Odds | Salzburg Win | Draw | Sturm Graz Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.59 | 4.45 | 4.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*