Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Salzburg faced AC Milan in Europa League on 15 October 2026. The match ended **0–4**, with AC Milan taking the victory over Salzburg. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** The 0–4 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.55 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.90 (confidence: 85%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 2.17 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.36 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** 5 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 14.00 (confidence: 20%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.34 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.55 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) ⭐ | 1.90 | 85% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 2.17 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.36 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 14.00 | 20% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.79 | 4 | | Corners | 9.2 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 02.11.22 AC Milan 4-0 Salzburg | 06.09.22 Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan | 07.12.94 Salzburg 0-1 AC Milan | 28.09.94 AC Milan 3-0 Salzburg ## Pre-Match Odds | Salzburg Win | Draw | AC Milan Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.55 | 3.70 | 2.12 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*