Sabah Baku 1–2 Dortmund — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Sabah Baku faced Dortmund in Champions League on 20 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Dortmund taking the victory over Sabah Baku. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Dortmund to Win** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.32 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.80 (confidence: 56%) — **LOST** 4 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.48 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 13 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 1 second-half goal — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 12.00 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Dortmund to Win | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.35 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.32 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.80 | 56% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.48 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.40 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 12.00 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.32 | 3 | | Corners | 10.2 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 3.5 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Sabah Baku Win | Draw | Dortmund Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 8.30 | 6.20 | 1.32 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.32. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*