Riga FC 1–1 Kairat Almaty — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Riga FC faced Kairat Almaty in Conference League on 15 October 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.26 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** The 1–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.31 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **BTTS & O2.5+: NO** @ 1.53 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 6.5 Cards** @ 1.30 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 6.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.45 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 5 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 7.10 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.26 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.31 | 78% | ✅ WON | | BTTS & O2.5+: NO | 1.53 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 6.5 Cards | 1.30 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.45 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 7.10 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.39 | 2 | | Corners | 9.1 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 5.2 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 65% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Riga FC Win | Draw | Kairat Almaty Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.90 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*