Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Real Madrid faced Real Sociedad in LaLiga on 26 August 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Real Madrid taking the victory over Real Sociedad. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Real Madrid to Win** @ 1.30 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.38 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The match produced 5 goals, exceeding the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.60 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip More second-half goals than our model predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 9.25 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Real Madrid to Win | 1.30 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.38 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.60 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.47 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 9.25 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.33 | 5 | | Corners | 10.0 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 14.02.26 Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad | 13.09.25 Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid | 24.05.25 Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad | 01.04.25AET Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad | 26.02.25 Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid ## Pre-Match Odds | Real Madrid Win | Draw | Real Sociedad Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.30 | 5.60 | 9.75 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.30. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*