PSV 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

PSV faced Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie on 13 September 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with PSV taking the victory over Sparta Rotterdam. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.67 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 2 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 14 corners — the 11.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.50 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.67 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.82 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.33 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 11.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.55 | 5 | | Corners | 11.4 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 86% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV | 09.08.25 PSV 6-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 18.05.25 Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV ## Pre-Match Odds | PSV Win | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.19 | 8.30 | 13.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.19. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*