Portugal 2–1 Norway — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Portugal faced Norway in Nations League on 4 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Portugal taking the victory over Norway. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.23 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.69 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 10 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 1 second-half goal — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 10.00 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.23 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.35 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.39 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.69 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.44 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 10.00 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.50 | 3 | | Corners | 9.6 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 27.09.26 Norway 1-2 Portugal | 29.05.16 Portugal 3-0 Norway | 04.06.11 Portugal 1-0 Norway | 07.09.10 Norway 1-0 Portugal | 10.09.03 Portugal 1-0 Norway ## Pre-Match Odds | Portugal Win | Draw | Norway Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.67 | 4.40 | 4.60 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*