Plzen 1–2 Levski Sofia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Plzen faced Levski Sofia in Europa League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Levski Sofia taking the victory over Plzen. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.21 (confidence: 80%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.71 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 4.5 Cards** @ 2.27 (confidence: 52%) — **LOST** 2 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.35 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 14.00 (confidence: 16%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.21 | 80% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.47 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.71 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 4.5 Cards | 2.27 | 52% | ❌ LOST | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.35 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.52 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 14.00 | 16% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.60 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 4.9 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 10.02.14 Levski Sofia 0-3 Plzen | 30.01.13 Levski Sofia 3-3 Plzen | 15.02.11 Levski Sofia 1-2 Plzen ## Pre-Match Odds | Plzen Win | Draw | Levski Sofia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.74 | 3.90 | 4.70 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.70. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*