Philadelphia Union 4–1 Toronto FC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Philadelphia Union faced Toronto FC in MLS on 7 November 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Philadelphia Union taking the victory over Toronto FC. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Philadelphia Union to Win** @ 1.47 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.05 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.26 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.90 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 4 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.53 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.64 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 9.50 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Philadelphia Union to Win ⭐ | 1.47 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.05 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.26 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.90 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.53 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.64 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 9.50 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.85 | 5 | | Corners | 10.4 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 23.04.26 Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union | 10.08.25 Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC | 29.05.25 Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union | 14.07.24 Toronto FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union | 30.05.24 Philadelphia Union 0-0 Toronto FC ## Pre-Match Odds | Philadelphia Union Win | Draw | Toronto FC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.47 | 5.00 | 6.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.47. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*