Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Philadelphia Union faced FC Cincinnati in MLS on 10 September 2026. The match ended **5–0**, with Philadelphia Union taking the victory over FC Cincinnati. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.24 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** The 5–0 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.36 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** 3 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 10.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 51%) — **LOST** 8 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.50 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.24 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.36 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.44 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Over 10.5 Corners | 1.82 | 51% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.50 | 69% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.71 | 5 | | Corners | 10.9 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.8 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 31.08.25 FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union | 02.03.25 Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati | 08.02.25 FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia Union | 20.10.24 Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC Cincinnati | 14.08.24 FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union ## Pre-Match Odds | Philadelphia Union Win | Draw | FC Cincinnati Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.70 | 4.40 | 4.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*