Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Philadelphia Union faced Charlotte in MLS on 17 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Philadelphia Union to Win** @ 1.62 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.00 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.24 (confidence: 80%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.46 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 8 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.60 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Philadelphia Union to Win | 1.62 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.00 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.24 | 80% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.45 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.46 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.60 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.75 | 4 | | Corners | 10.9 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 05.04.26 Charlotte 2-1 Philadelphia Union | 19.10.25 Charlotte 2-0 Philadelphia Union | 15.06.25 Philadelphia Union 2-1 Charlotte | 28.07.24 Philadelphia Union 1-0 Charlotte | 23.06.24 Philadelphia Union 0-2 Charlotte ## Pre-Match Odds | Philadelphia Union Win | Draw | Charlotte Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.62 | 5.25 | 5.85 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*