Paks 3–0 MTK Budapest — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Paks faced MTK Budapest in NB I on 10 October 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with Paks taking the victory over MTK Budapest. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.76 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.41 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 9.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.76 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.30 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.41 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.47 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 9.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.09 | 3 | | Corners | 10.6 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 83% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 20.03.26 MTK Budapest 0-2 Paks | 06.12.25 Paks 3-1 MTK Budapest | 24.08.25 MTK Budapest 2-3 Paks | 11.04.25 MTK Budapest 1-2 Paks | 07.12.24 Paks 4-2 MTK Budapest ## Pre-Match Odds | Paks Win | Draw | MTK Budapest Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.12 | 4.00 | 3.15 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*