Paks 2–4 Debrecen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Paks faced Debrecen in NB I on 5 September 2026. The match ended **2–4**, with Debrecen taking the victory over Paks. We placed **4 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **2 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.40 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 6 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** The second half stayed under 2.5 goals as we expected. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.50 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.35 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.40 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.50 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 4 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.61 | 6 | | Corners | 11.4 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 03.05.26 Paks 5-2 Debrecen | 07.02.26 Debrecen 1-0 Paks | 18.10.25 Paks 1-1 Debrecen | 18.05.25 Debrecen 0-0 Paks | 22.02.25 Paks 4-3 Debrecen ## Pre-Match Odds | Paks Win | Draw | Debrecen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.98 | 3.85 | 3.30 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.30. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*