Pafos 1–1 Riga FC — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisPafos faced Riga FC in Conference League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **4 lost** (43% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Pafos to Win** @ 1.62 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.64 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.62 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 3 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.69 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** 14 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.51 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 0 first-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 14.00 (confidence: 19%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Pafos to Win | 1.62 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.42 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.64 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.62 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.69 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.51 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 14.00 | 19% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 7 tips won** (43% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.47 | 2 | | Corners | 9.2 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 66% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 26.03.22 Pafos 5-4 Riga FC | 17.11.19 Pafos 1-4 Riga FC | 14.07.17 Riga FC 2-1 Pafos ## Pre-Match Odds | Pafos Win | Draw | Riga FC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.40 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*