Nottingham 3–1 Manchester City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Nottingham faced Manchester City in Premier League on 7 November 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Nottingham taking the victory over Manchester City. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Manchester City to Win** @ 1.78 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.65 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.39 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 4 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.92 (confidence: 51%) — **LOST** 10 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-2** @ 9.00 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Manchester City to Win | 1.78 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.65 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.39 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.44 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.92 | 51% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.34 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-2 | 9.00 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.07 | 4 | | Corners | 9.7 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 04.03.26 Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham | 27.12.25 Nottingham 1-2 Manchester City | 27.04.25 Nottingham 0-2 Manchester City | 08.03.25 Nottingham 1-0 Manchester City | 04.12.24 Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham ## Pre-Match Odds | Nottingham Win | Draw | Manchester City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.78 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.40. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*