Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Nijmegen faced Excelsior in Eredivisie on 8 September 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.20 (confidence: 81%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.60 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 4 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 6 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.67 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 16.50 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.20 | 81% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.60 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.75 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.67 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 16.50 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.48 | 4 | | Corners | 10.1 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 3.2 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 04.04.26 Excelsior 0-2 Nijmegen | 09.08.25 Nijmegen 5-0 Excelsior | 06.05.24 Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen | 13.08.23 Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior | 19.02.23 Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen ## Pre-Match Odds | Nijmegen Win | Draw | Excelsior Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.90 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*