Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Newcastle faced Aston Villa in Premier League on 17 October 2026. The match ended **0–1**, with Aston Villa taking the victory over Newcastle. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** The 0–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.61 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** Only 1 goals — not enough to cover over 2.5. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.34 (confidence: 87%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip Only 1 goals — not enough to cover over 2.5. ❓ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.66 (confidence: 60%) — **PENDING** This prediction missed. ❓ **Under 12.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 78%) — **PENDING** The corner market didn't hit. ❓ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **PENDING** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.65 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.61 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.34 | 87% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.66 | 60% | ❓ PENDING | | Under 12.5 Corners | 1.32 | 78% | ❓ PENDING | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 11.00 | 7% | ❓ PENDING | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.54 | 1 | | Corners | 9.8 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 14.02.26 Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle | 25.01.26 Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa | 16.08.25 Aston Villa 0-0 Newcastle | 19.04.25 Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle | 26.12.24 Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa ## Pre-Match Odds | Newcastle Win | Draw | Aston Villa Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.30 | 3.65 | 3.00 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*