New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

New York Red Bulls faced St. Louis City in MLS on 1 October 2026. The match ended **0–3**, with St. Louis City taking the victory over New York Red Bulls. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **St. Louis City to Win** @ 1.83 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.31 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-2** @ 12.50 (confidence: 14%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | St. Louis City to Win | 1.83 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.31 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-2 | 12.50 | 14% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.16 | 3 | | Corners | 10.2 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 24.01.26 New York Red Bulls 3-1 St. Louis City | 29.01.25 New York Red Bulls 0-1 St. Louis City | 11.02.24 St. Louis City 2-2 New York Red Bulls ## Pre-Match Odds | New York Red Bulls Win | Draw | St. Louis City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.65 | 4.30 | 1.83 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*