New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego FC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

New York Red Bulls faced San Diego FC in MLS on 11 October 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with New York Red Bulls taking the victory over San Diego FC. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.53 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.95 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.83 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 17.00 (confidence: 14%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.53 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.95 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.83 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.33 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 17.00 | 14% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.20 | 5 | | Corners | 9.6 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 15.02.25 San Diego FC 6-0 New York Red Bulls ## Pre-Match Odds | New York Red Bulls Win | Draw | San Diego FC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.60 | 3.95 | 2.47 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*