New York City 2–1 Atlanta Utd — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

New York City faced Atlanta Utd in MLS on 29 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with New York City taking the victory over Atlanta Utd. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **3 lost** (57% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.24 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.31 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.75 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.60 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 6 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.31 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.20 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.24 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.60 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.31 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.75 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.60 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.31 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.20 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 7 tips won** (57% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.88 | 3 | | Corners | 9.8 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 27.09.26 Atlanta Utd 2-2 New York City | 13.06.25 New York City 4-0 Atlanta Utd | 30.03.25 Atlanta Utd 4-3 New York City | 18.07.24 Atlanta Utd 2-2 New York City | 07.04.24 New York City 1-1 Atlanta Utd ## Pre-Match Odds | New York City Win | Draw | Atlanta Utd Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.78 | 3.90 | 4.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*