New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

New England Revolution faced Chicago Fire in MLS on 18 October 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with New England Revolution taking the victory over Chicago Fire. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.48 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** The 1–0 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.49 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.27 (confidence: 81%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.56 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 10 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.10 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.48 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.49 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.27 | 81% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.56 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.31 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.10 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.53 | 1 | | Corners | 10.2 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 14.09.26 Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution | 19.10.25 New England Revolution 2-2 Chicago Fire | 07.09.25 Chicago Fire 3-2 New England Revolution | 21.05.25 New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago Fire | 05.05.24 Chicago Fire 0-1 New England Revolution ## Pre-Match Odds | New England Revolution Win | Draw | Chicago Fire Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.42 | 3.80 | 2.72 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*