Netherlands 2–1 Serbia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Netherlands faced Serbia in Nations League on 4 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Netherlands taking the victory over Serbia. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.90 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 2.00 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 2 first-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 4-0** @ 8.90 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.90 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.33 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.45 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 2.00 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 4-0 | 8.90 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.28 | 3 | | Corners | 9.2 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 85% | Yes (2) | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 27.09.26 Serbia 1-2 Netherlands ## Pre-Match Odds | Netherlands Win | Draw | Serbia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.16 | 8.40 | 16.50 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.16. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*